What is the relation between politics and globalization? ｜LiuXinlei

 The second issue of globalization is the pressure on the geopolitical structure. Globalization is changing the state of the country. The endowment of each country is different, and the ability to gain benefits in globalization is also different. This is actually a repeat of the American Village problem in the global village. The logic is almost the same, and the platform of the problem has gone up a notch. In American Village, rich people can't stand it and can change to another village. But at the level of the global village, there is no second global village that can accommodate such "getting their own places". You cannot move away from the earth, nor can you be separated from human civilization. At this time, if the villagers of the global village are worried about the imbalance of power, how should the rich choose? As mentioned above-rich people are willing to compromise and can compromise. The real question is in what name and path is used to compromise. As far as I can see, there is only one way to deal with this matter-on the one hand, have sufficient force to deter, to ensure that no one dares to continue to consider the feasibility of obtaining concessions by "pressing" and threats; on the other hand, actively releasing material benefits in exchange for Social capital offsets the effect of globalization that consumes social capital and increases material assets. These two strategies are effective for all countries benefiting from globalization. These countries will unite and implement these two strategies as a whole. It has to be so. "You and I have had such a degree of controversy, so that you have moved to squeeze benefits against me in order to achieve rebalancing, and I have also seen that it is indeed necessary to at least ease this confrontation to a certain extent. The necessity of tension"-this kind of situation has been repeatedly performed on all large and small stages in human history. This history has repeatedly and tirelessly explained the ending of the story-there can only be one final plot, that is, the last new "king of productivity" will first deter all soft and hard threats and make the other side violence The attempt failed completely, so that the subsequent distribution of benefits could not be understood as the result of their own violence in any sense; then, after this delusion was eliminated, the winner actively redistributed part of the benefits. And this redistribution must be a material tilt in exchange for adjustments in international relations and international order, rather than unconditional charity. Only this result is the result with the greatest stability. It neither rewards greed, laziness, and viciousness, but also benignly curbed the further deterioration of polarization, thus extinguishing these two sources of power to continue to change the situation. Until this result is achieved, other temporary steady states will enter a new round of internal tension accumulation because these two power sources are still not shut down, until the accumulated tension again breaks this temporary steady state and pushes it into the direction. This is the next transit point in the final steady state. Repeat the cycle until it stabilizes to this end. Obviously, China has seen this general trend and has already acted. This is why in recent years, China has been rapidly modernizing and advancing its military on the one hand, and on the other hand, it is advancing by leaps and bounds the Belt and Road Initiative and the new benefit distribution framework of the "Community of Shared Future for Mankind". This is to play the forefront for all globalization beneficiaries and the globalization beneficiaries of all countries, paving the shortest path to the final steady state of the international order adapted to globalization as soon as possible.

On the other hand, the beneficiaries of globalization can further expand their open doors and market access, allowing people from all over the world who are dissatisfied with globalization to have the opportunity to participate in the benefit-sharing of globalization as individuals through certain efforts. A strategy for the anti-globalization group forces to draw salaries from the bottom. The principle of this strategy has a classic practice, that is, the imperial examination system of the Sui and Tang dynasties-through a certain screening mechanism to select the elite and become a member of the interest class, it is enough to make the turbulent forces lose their intellectual and organizational resources and weaken their strength. Globalization is the development of productive forces, and anti-globalization is the demand of production relations. Production relations can delay the development of productivity for a while, but in the end, production relations will always adjust themselves to adapt to the new productivity. Unless human beings give up the infinite pursuit of material life, this is an irreversible macro law. By keeping an eye on the progress of these two main topics in various regions, you can see the rhythm of the low tide and high tide of globalization, and also know which signals indicate the beginning and end of the low tide, and the beginning and end of the high tide. As for what kind of judgments you make based on the signs you see, it is the homework that everyone has to work hard to do on their own.